Дает этот пример (раздел: Пример обучения с несколькими временными шагами лага), чтобы спрогнозировать следующие 6 часов загрязнения на основе данных за предыдущие 2 года, я должен просто установить n_hours = 17520, и количество будущих шагов, которые я хочу предсказать (установите n_out = 6)?
В противном случае, я где-то читал, что мне также следует изменить единицы слоя Dense на количество будущих шагов для прогнозирования (здесь 6), однако он всегда возвращает ошибку. В чем будет проблема?
Спасибо
Измененный код:
from math import sqrt
from numpy import concatenate
from matplotlib import pyplot
from pandas import read_csv
from pandas import DataFrame
from pandas import concat
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from sklearn.preprocessing import LabelEncoder
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
from keras.models import Sequential
from keras.layers import Dense
from keras.layers import LSTM
# convert series to supervised learning
def series_to_supervised(data, n_in=1, n_out=1, dropnan=True):
n_vars = 1 if type(data) is list else data.shape[1]
df = DataFrame(data)
cols, names = list(), list()
# input sequence (t-n, ... t-1)
for i in range(n_in, 0, -1):
cols.append(df.shift(i))
names += [('var%d(t-%d)' % (j+1, i)) for j in range(n_vars)]
# forecast sequence (t, t+1, ... t+n)
for i in range(0, n_out):
cols.append(df.shift(-i))
if i == 0:
names += [('var%d(t)' % (j+1)) for j in range(n_vars)]
else:
names += [('var%d(t+%d)' % (j+1, i)) for j in range(n_vars)]
# put it all together
agg = concat(cols, axis=1)
agg.columns = names
# drop rows with NaN values
if dropnan:
agg.dropna(inplace=True)
return agg
# load dataset
dataset = read_csv('pollution.csv', header=0, index_col=0)
values = dataset.values
# integer encode direction
encoder = LabelEncoder()
values[:,4] = encoder.fit_transform(values[:,4])
# ensure all data is float
values = values.astype('float32')
# normalize features
scaler = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1))
scaled = scaler.fit_transform(values)
# specify the number of lag hours
n_hours = 17520
n_features = 8
# frame as supervised learning
reframed = series_to_supervised(scaled, n_hours, 6) # predict the next 6 hours
print(reframed.shape)
# split into train and test sets
values = reframed.values
n_train_hours = 365 * 24 *2
train = values[:n_train_hours, :]
test = values[n_train_hours:, :]
# split into input and outputs
n_obs = n_hours * n_features
train_X, train_y = train[:, :n_obs], train[:, -n_features]
test_X, test_y = test[:, :n_obs], test[:, -n_features]
print(train_X.shape, len(train_X), train_y.shape)
# reshape input to be 3D [samples, timesteps, features]
train_X = train_X.reshape((train_X.shape[0], n_hours, n_features))
test_X = test_X.reshape((test_X.shape[0], n_hours, n_features))
print(train_X.shape, train_y.shape, test_X.shape, test_y.shape)
# design network
model = Sequential()
model.add(LSTM(50, input_shape=(train_X.shape[1], train_X.shape[2])))
model.add(Dense(1))
model.compile(loss='mae', optimizer='adam')
# fit network
history = model.fit(train_X, train_y, epochs=50, batch_size=72, validation_data=(test_X, test_y), verbose=2, shuffle=False)
# plot history
pyplot.plot(history.history['loss'], label='train')
pyplot.plot(history.history['val_loss'], label='test')
pyplot.legend()
pyplot.show()
# make a prediction
yhat = model.predict(test_X)
test_X = test_X.reshape((test_X.shape[0], n_hours*n_features))
# invert scaling for forecast
inv_yhat = concatenate((yhat, test_X[:, -7:]), axis=1)
inv_yhat = scaler.inverse_transform(inv_yhat)
inv_yhat = inv_yhat[:,0]
# invert scaling for actual
test_y = test_y.reshape((len(test_y), 1))
inv_y = concatenate((test_y, test_X[:, -7:]), axis=1)
inv_y = scaler.inverse_transform(inv_y)
inv_y = inv_y[:,0]
# calculate RMSE
rmse = sqrt(mean_squared_error(inv_y, inv_yhat))
print('Test RMSE: %.3f' % rmse)
Редактировать: Я изменил значение единиц плотного слоя на 6 и train_y.shape[1], а также test_y.shape[1] на 6 следующим образом:
# load dataset
dataset = read_csv('pollution.csv', header=0, index_col=0)
values = dataset.values
# integer encode direction
encoder = LabelEncoder()
values[:,4] = encoder.fit_transform(values[:,4])
# ensure all data is float
values = values.astype('float32')
# normalize features
scaler = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1))
scaled = scaler.fit_transform(values)
# specify the number of lag hours
n_hours =48
n_out=6
n_features = 8
# frame as supervised learning
reframed = series_to_supervised(scaled, n_hours, n_out)
print(reframed.shape)
# split into train and test sets
values = reframed.values
n_train_hours = 365 * 24 * 2
train = values[:n_train_hours, :]
test = values[n_train_hours:, :]
# split into input and outputs
n_obs = n_hours * n_features
train_X, train_y = train[:, :n_obs], train[:, :6]#I put 6 instead of -n_features
print(train_X.shape, len(train_X), train_y.shape)
test_X, test_y = test[:, :n_obs], test[:,:6] # I put 6 instead of -n_features
print(test_X.shape, len(test_X), test_y.shape)
# reshape input to be 3D [samples, timesteps, features]
train_X = train_X.reshape((train_X.shape[0], n_hours, n_features))
train_y = train_y
test_X = test_X.reshape((test_X.shape[0], n_hours, n_features))
print(train_X.shape, train_y.shape, test_X.shape, test_y.shape)
train_y.shape
# design network
model = Sequential()
model.add(LSTM(5, input_shape=(train_X.shape[1], train_X.shape[2])))
model.add(Dense(6))
model.compile(loss='mae', optimizer='adam')
# fit network
history = model.fit(train_X, train_y, epochs=5, batch_size=72, validation_data=(test_X, test_y), verbose=2, shuffle=False)
# plot history
pyplot.plot(history.history['loss'], label='train')
pyplot.plot(history.history['val_loss'], label='test')
pyplot.legend()
pyplot.show()
# make a prediction
yhat = model.predict(test_X)
test_X = test_X.reshape((test_X.shape[0], n_hours*n_features))
# invert scaling for forecast
inv_yhat = concatenate((yhat, test_X[:, -7:]), axis=1)
inv_yhat = scaler.inverse_transform(inv_yhat)
inv_yhat = inv_yhat[:,0]
# invert scaling for actual
test_y = test_y.reshape((len(test_y), 1))
inv_y = concatenate((test_y, test_X[:, -7:]), axis=1)
inv_y = scaler.inverse_transform(inv_y)
inv_y = inv_y[:,0]
# calculate RMSE
rmse = sqrt(mean_squared_error(inv_y, inv_yhat))
print('Test RMSE: %.3f' % rmse)
Ошибка, которую я получил:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ValueError Traceback (most recent call last)
<ipython-input-57-8e17d1d76420> in <module>
9 # invert scaling for forecast
10 inv_yhat = concatenate((yhat, test_X[:, -7:]), axis=1)
---> 11 inv_yhat = scaler.inverse_transform(inv_yhat)
12 inv_yhat = inv_yhat[:,0]
13 # invert scaling for actual
~\AppData\Local\Continuum\anaconda3\lib\site-packages\sklearn\preprocessing\data.py in inverse_transform(self, X)
404 force_all_finite="allow-nan")
405
--> 406 X -= self.min_
407 X /= self.scale_
408 return X
ValueError: operands could not be broadcast together with shapes (26227,13) (8,) (26227,13)